Hunger games . . .

. . . well, not that dire, but talk about cutting off your nose to spite your enemy's face.

Item:

MOSCOW — Russia announced on Thursday that it was banning the import of a wide range of food and agricultural products from Europe and the United States, among others, responding to Western-imposed sanctions and raising the level of confrontation between the West and Moscow over the future of Ukraine.
Dmitri A. Medvedev, the prime minister, announced that Russia would ban all beef, pork, fruit, vegetables and dairy products from the European Union, the United States, Canada, Australia and Norway for one year.

NY Times story.


An Auto story . . .



Ever wonder what the life of a car means to the people who own it, and vice versa?

Earl Swift explores the intersections in Auto Biography, which focuses on a '57 Chevy wagon and the man who restores it. The book is like a Sunday ride in a hilly country, exploring the different nooks and crannies of Americana. Much to his credit, he doesn't prettify it.

Great summer read.


The future of footnotes . . .

. . . is on the web.

Craig Shirley is accusing Rick Perlstein of plagiarizing his work in The Invisible Bridge - a charge that might be taken more seriously if politics weren't involved and Shirley weren't asking for $25 million in supposed damages. Oh, and if Perlstein hadn't cited Shirley some 125 times.

Putting aside the charges, it's interesting that Perlstein put the footnotes for the book on-line. One of the reasons he said he did this was to keep the length of the book down, a factor I can tell you is actually much more important than most non-authors know. But more interesting is the ability to link those notes to the original sources in many cases, allowing the reader (and other researchers) to explore the sources on their own. It also allows for up-dating and upgrading the notes as time goes on.

The arrangement has been criticized on the grounds that the cites can be put in retroactively; obviously the people saying that are far more interested in playing "gotcha" than actually using the notes in a meaningful way.

I'd love the ability to use inter-active notes with some of my nonfiction books, most notably Rangers at Dieppe and Omar Bradley, General at War. Readers have supplied me with lots of information since the publication of both. While they haven't changed the specific findings in either case, they have added interesting tidbits and shaded a few interpretations. While I talk about them here and on the website when I can, this is no where near as convenient for readers as a dedicated site with links would be.

Of course, the question then would be who maintains it. Even the least expensive hosting arrangements would add expense that most writers couldn't bear over the long haul.

Poirot again?



Sophie Hannah has written a new Poirot novel, bringing one of Agatha Christie's favorite characters back to life.

As a Poirot fan, I'm looking forward to it. But the author has to be pretty brave - some will no doubt declare it sacrilegious, no matter how brilliant the effort.

Advance word has been very good. We'll see in September when the book comes out. (William Morrow is the publisher.) Now if they could just get David Suchet to reprise his role in a new TV series based on the book . . .

Dax, the Animal Destroyer



Dave Bautista is the big attraction in Guardians of the Galaxy, which opens today. He's gotta be the nicest destroyer going. The advance word is the movie is great, and Bautista kills.

Figuratively as well as literally, of course.

If you want to know more about Dave's early life and the bulk of his wrestling career, check out our book, Batista Unleashed. (You can see a preview here.)


Gaza - the blood is on Hamas' hands

As anyone with even a passing familiarity with Hamas could have predicted, civilian casualties in Gaza have climbed - by design.
Not Israel's - Hamas's. The death of their civilians is part of their plans.
Yet the Western media, and a number of Western leaders, rarely if ever acknowledge it. And even when they do, the acknowledgement is couched in mamby-pamby language that clouds the truth rather than illuminates it.
A case in point is a story in the Washington Post today by Terrence McCoy that does a good job attempting to point out what the real situation is. For example, it includes these paragraphs:

According to longtime Mideast analyst Matthew Levitt, Hamas has long planted weapons in areas inhabited by vulnerable residents. “It happens in schools,” he wrote in Middle East Quarterly. “Hamas has buried caches of arms and explosives under its own kindergarten playgrounds,” referencing a 2001 State Department report that said a Hamas leader was arrested after “additional explosives in a Gaza kindergarten” were discovered. . . .
 For years, Hamas has “planned carefully for a major Israeli invasion,” according to a Washington Institute for Near East Policy report. In addition to an elaborate tunnel system, there was the “integral use of civilians and civilian facilities as cover for its military activity; schools, mosques, hospitals, and civilian housing became weapons storage facilities, Hamas headquarters, and fighting positions … IDF imagery and combat intelligence revealed extensive use of civilian facilities.”


But it also begins with attribution presented in a way that inevitably introduces doubt: "alleges" rather than "states," for example, as well as a long paragraph that condemns an Israeli strike.

Don't get me wrong - that story is far, far better than most, since it does make clear that Hamas purposely stores weapons in area where civilians will die if attacked. But it quickly pulls back from making the obvious conclusions that Hamas wants its civilians to die - the weapons are stored in schools and hospitals in an attempt to have Israel kill them. It's as if the writer - or maybe his editors - are afraid to draw that obvious conclusion, because then they would have to admit that Hamas is in fact evil - and not the equivalent of Israel. I'm sure they know it; they just feel they can't say it, because that would mean they weren't objective.

But the object of journalism isn't objectivity; it's truth. And the truth here, even if no one wants to face it, is that a strong faction of Hamas leaders want civilians to die, since those deaths will give them power.

If you're not willing to acknowledge that, you'll never really understand what's going on there.

Overdue . . .

. . . and yet radical at the same time.

Item:

A 20-year Air Force strategic forecast, spurred in part by looming budget constraints, also calls for a faster pace, with lower price tags, in developing both airmen and the technology they use, warning that the current way of acquiring warplanes and weapons is too plodding.


Story. (NYT subscription) What's gone under the radar is how deep some of the cuts to the military have gone. It seems counter-intuitive - maybe even heretical - but it's possible we need to allocate more money to defense, or will in the near future.
Chris Kyle

A statement on the Ventura-Kyle trial result:
(updated 7/30)

The plaintiffs managed to convince eight people that three or four years before anyone ever mentioned the possibility of writing a book to him, Chris Kyle concocted a plot to catapult that unwritten book to fame, lied to his family, friends, attorney and co-writer, and enlisted a dozen or more people in the conspiracy.
I’m not sure whether that’s a statement about American jurisprudence, our education system, or our drinking water.
I stand by the testimony I gave in the case. According to media accounts, eleven witnesses for the defense verified the various aspects of the altercation that Chris and I wrote about in American Sniper. Those witnesses included people who didn’t know Chris, and even admired his accuser. I personally talked to four people who were there, as well as two people who’d spoken to others.

I continue to believe in Chris.


Marine mover . . .




The Marines are looking at a new concept for hitting beaches. This is essentially a promo video for the concept. Remind anyone else of Transformers?

Behind the lines in Ukraine


Interesting piece from a Bloomberg reporter from Russia who was arrested by the Ukrainian authorities:

In eastern Ukraine, one text message can turn you into an enemy. In my case, it was sent to my father. “Talked to Borodai at night,” it said about an interview I had with a rebel leader.

Article.
Dreaming of a Cold War world 

Russia continues to escalate its involvement in Ukraine. From CNN:



Aside from cementing Putin's grand vision of Russia as World Heel, it's hard to see the long-term benefit of any of this to Russia. But what's really baffling are the actions of the rebels, who are fighting for the right to become a rump state beholden to a dictator whose greatest ambition is to return to a 1950s world.

Clearly, teaching history is as out of favor in eastern Europe as it is in the U.S.


Gangsters & detectives

This year marks the 70th anniversary of the release of Double Indemnity, a movie many credit with being the first real Film Noir. In honor of that anniversary and the film, a set of articles is planned over at CriminalElment.com written by Jake Hinkson exploring the genre. Here's a taste of his first entry on Indemnity:

The making of Double Indemnity—particularly the writing of the script—is the stuff of movie legend. Adapted from the novel by James M. Cain, the screenplay was written by director Billy Wilder and novelist Raymond Chandler. This was an impossibly talented duo, though not exactly the match made in heaven that it might have looked like on paper. Chandler was curmudgeonly under the best of circumstances, and he neither approved of Cain’s book (“Everything Cain touches smells like a billygoat”) nor enjoyed working with Wilder (“an agonizing experience”). Perhaps those fat studio paychecks gave him the strength to endure.

The full entry is here.

Film critics and movie buffs can discuss the origins of film noir endlessly -- which movies were the precursors, what was the first, best, worst, etc. One thing that I rarely see, though, are nods to the gangster movies of the 1930s, which to my mind were a big influence, arguably more so than the foreign movies often cited in scholarly discussions.

Here's a scene from Public Enemy (1931), where James Cagney takes in on the chin:



This isn't film noir, but the feel and dialogue could easily fit into the movies a decade later.






Send Russia's LHDs to Japan?


The continuing conflict in Ukraine, to say nothing of the recent downing of the Malaysian airliner, have served to underline just how bad France's decision to sell two amphibious warships to Russia really is.

A story in the Diplomat sums up the situation and gives good background on the vessels:
One of France’s most important but least known naval platforms is the 21,300 ton Mistral-class amphibious assault ship (LHD).  These helicopter carriers have a 69,000 square foot flat top deck with six helicopter landing spots.  Their massive hanger is large enough to hold 16 helicopters, which access the flight deck via heavy lift elevators.  The ships’ size allows them to operate with up to 30 embarked helicopters.  In addition, their vehicle hangers can accommodate 40 main battle tanks, and they provide quarters for up to 500 soldiers or marines.  The troops can be transported to shore by helicopter or by amphibious catamarans housed in the ships’ well dock.  Amphibious operations are controlled from a nearly-10,000 square foot command center fit for 150 officers and staff.  The ships carry a medical facility equivalent to a hospital for a 25,000 inhabitant city with a complex surgery center.

Story.

The writer suggests that the U.S. buy the ships, but a far better customer would be Japan. Given local conflicts over disputed islands, North Korea's continued belligerence and China's growth as a regional military power, the carriers would be a good addition to the naval defense force.


Gaza

Will the pattern repeat itself endlessly?

Hamas provokes and provokes, until finally Israel is forced to take action. Israel responds with restraint and measures unprecedented in the history of warfare, but eventually civilian tolls add up. The media carries stories about Palestinian deaths. Gradually, public pressure builds on Israel.

It's an absurd, cynical, and morally bankrupt strategy employed by Hamas, which uses its the people it's supposed to be protecting as fodder; in the end, it achieves nothing but more misery for Palestinians.

And the most absurd thing of all is that the people of the Gaza Strip voted for Hamas.





Saw Quinn Sullivan a few weeks ago at Saratoga - he keeps getting better and better, and he's already scary good.

Independence Day


I was asked for a few thoughts on July 4th.  Here's an excerpt:

Everyone talks about freedom these days, but I think what a lot of people forget is that freedom is a responsibility more than a right. You have a responsibility to support your neighbors and the community in general. You need a vision of the future, and sometimes to do things that aren’t easy or just fun. Freedom during the revolution meant “volunteering” for the militia, going away from your farm and family for weeks and risking your life. The things most of us do for our country pale by comparison.

The rest of the article is here. Thanks to Elise Cooper and my friends at the American Thinker.
Bench-mark Harrier




Leave it to the Marines . . .

Dunkirk - the miracle of the mirage

One of the things that has always fascinated me about World War II is how the utter embarrassment of the British during the summer of 1940 somehow morphed in popular minds into a great "triumph" centered around Dunkirk. The evacuation of the shattered army is generally treated as a high point of the war, rather than the end result of a chaotic and ill-planned campaign. And not just in the popular imagination, but in (supposedly) serious history books as well.

That apparently fascinated the BBC as well, and they've put together a fine report here (written by Duncan Anderson) putting the evacuation into better perspective. The title of the piece pretty much gives away its slant: "Spinning Dunkirk."

The article can be found here.

It's truly amazing that barely a year or so after the fall of France, British soldiers would look down on the American Army in Africa and elsewhere as hopelessly incompetent. As bad as our Army was - and the Americans certainly had a long way to go after entering the war - nothing the Americans experienced came close to the rout suffered by the British when France fell. But I suppose we all believe what we need to believe.



Shocking, just shocking . . .

The latest on Iraq:

BRUSSELS — Iran is directing surveillance drones over Iraq from an airfield in Baghdad and is secretly supplying Iraq with tons of military equipment, supplies and other assistance, American officials said. Tehran has also deployed an intelligence unit there to intercept communications, the officials said.
The secret Iranian programs are part of a broader effort by Tehran to gather intelligence and help Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki’s government in its struggle against Sunni militants with the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria. Story.

Is Iraq officially a vassal state yet?

World War I

A.O. Scott published an excellent meditation on World War I Friday in the NY Times. Part of his theme:

World War I remains embedded in the popular consciousness. Publicized in its day as “the war to end all wars,” it has instead become the war to which all subsequent wars, and much else in modern life, seem to refer. Words and phrases once specifically associated with the experience of combat on the Western Front are still part of the common language. We barely recognize “in the trenches,” “no man’s land” or "over the top" as figures of speech, much less as images that evoke what was once a novel form of organized mass death. And we seldom notice that our collective understanding of what has happened in foxholes, jungles, mountains and deserts far removed in space and time from the sandbags and barbed wire of France and Belgium is filtered through the blood, smoke and misery of those earlier engagements.

Yet in America, the war seems barely studied in schools, let alone remembered by the general public. Given that the 100th anniversary of its start will be observed next month, I wonder if that will change.

Essay.

Happy Father's Day



Iraq in a nutshell . . .

. . . or I should say "nut graph," as they say in journalism school. From the NYT:

That many Sunnis would prefer to take their chances under a militant group so violent it was thrown out of Al Qaeda sharply illustrates how difficult it will be for the Iraqi government to reassert control. Any aggressive effort by Baghdad to retake the city could reinforce the Iraqi Army’s reputation as an occupying force, rather than a guarantor of security.
That many Sunnis would prefer to take their chances under a militant group so violent it was thrown out of Al Qaeda sharply illustrates how difficult it will be for the Iraqi government to reassert control. Any aggressive effort by Baghdad to retake the city could reinforce the Iraqi Army’s reputation as an occupying force, rather than a guarantor of security
Many of those who fled said they were terrified of possible airstrikes and indiscriminate shelling that they have seen, in news reports, against insurgents in Sunni-dominated Anbar Province, which has been out of government control for more than six months. Some, saying a rumor had been swirling through the local population, even worried that the Americans would be back to bomb their city. And most said the militants in Mosul had not terrorized the population and were keeping a low profile, with a small number of men in black masks staffing checkpoints.

Story. The headline on the story is wrong, as it makes it seem as if the people actually want the mujaheddin. And while ISIS is extremely violent, the break with al Qaeda is far more complicated than the writer glibly states - and let's be real: al Qaeda is not exactly Ghandi. But the general attitude of the fleeing residents toward the government does jibe very much with what I've heard from people there.

This has been several years in the making. Maybe the real question isn't whether Iraq will split up, but what form the Sunni-dominated western country will take. Will the mujaheddin dominate, or will the tribes reassert control?

Iraq




As the country continues to crumble, the Telegraph provides a good overview of developments:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iraq/10892299/Iraq-crisis-al-Qaeda-militants-push-towards-Baghdad-live.html

Calls for U.S. involvement so far have largely ignored the fact that Maliki, Iraq's prime minister, has been openly hostile to the U.S. and U.S. forces, and is basically a pawn of Iran. Of course, he's been even worse to his country's Sunni population.

What's about to happen here is the same thing that happened in Syria - Iran is going to intervene on the side of the government; in fact Quds units are already reported inside the country.

Two things:

- though they're getting most of the attention, the ISIS is not the only player among the mujaheddin forces,
- the speed of the takeover is mostly a function of the disillusionment, disorder and corruption on the army and government's side, not the abilities of the mujaheddin.

Things are going to get bloodier before they get better.



‘Killing Patton’


According to various reports, Bill O’Reilly and Martin Dugard plan to take on Patton in the next of their “Killing” series. I'm looking forward to it.

Patton died as a result of an auto accident*, but like a lot of other things these days, a veritable cottage industry has sprung up spinning conspiracies about his death. Presumably O’Reilly and Dugard will put those to rest. They may straighten out a lot of other things as well: much of what we think we “know” about Patton isn’t true, as historians and biographers have said over and over.

Some of it is a little obscure and understandable – like giving Patton credit Patton credit for the final American push in Africa, when it was really Omar Bradley in charge. (Secrecy at the time helped obscure Bradley’s role, and Patton had spent several weeks reshaping the forces (with Bradley) prior to that. But mostly it was due to media fascination and shoddy reporting.)

I suppose there’s little hope that the public can ever be convinced that the so-called “slapping incidents” had a small impact on Patton’s career – Eisenhower had already chosen Bradley to lead the American invasion, and despite the incidents insisted on having Patton as an Army commander (under Bradley and over his initial objections – he wanted Lucian Truscott). But a well-rounded portrait of Patton, pluses and minuses all, may have at least a small influence in how we think of heroes. a more realistic appraisal might help us all.

I’m looking forward to the book as a readable and enjoyable popular introduction to an important person and, from there, important events. It is a bit of departure – until now, O'Reill and Dugard have only looked at people who have been deliberately murdered. I’m sure they don’t need my advice, but I’d love to see them tackle Julius Caesar in the future – not only does his death fit with their original premise, but I think there’s a lot of resonance in his life and times with our own era.


* The car, incidentally, is at the Patton Museum at Fort Knox. I saw it last week when I was there. Completely restored, it’s part of a new and promising exhibit on leadership the museum is putting together.



You'll never hear these phrases come from a zipper suit's mouth . . .
Mosul, Iraq - now controlled by 'militants'

. . .  with 'militants' being another word for terrorists who have indiscriminately killed many civilians. Item:

Militant fighters of the Islamic State of Iraq and Levant seized Mosul after battling government forces for control of the northern Iraqi city, extending their reach over the country as central authority crumbles.
The group also captured the airport in Mosul as the Iraqi army pulled out of its positions inside the city, Dubai-based Al Arabiya television station said today, citing the Nineveh governor Athil al-Nujaifi. Images on Al Jazeera satellite television showed cars burning in the city and citizens fleeing the fighting. Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki called for parliament to declare a state of emergency.
Story.

The "Islamic State of Iraq and Levant" was affiliated with al Qaeda until recently. It's admittedly hard to pin down exact affiliations and alliances, even for Iraqis. But one of the key things going on in Mosul - once the most peaceful major city in Iraq - is the radicalization of Sunnis completely disillusioned and disenfranchised by the Shia government in Baghdad and the east. The majority of people there don't necessarily like ISIL, et al, let alone violence, but they detest the "central" government. The terrorists are the only viable opposition.

We're watching the long-predicted breakup of Iraq into three distinct countries along sectarian lines. The only question is how many innocent people will die in the process.



Rousseau was wrong . . .


. . . but Conrad* was right. At least according to a new theory about why the bones in men's faces are so big.

Item:
violence played a greater role in human evolution than previously thought. 
When modern humans fight hand-to-hand the face is usually the primary target. Dr Carrier and Dr Morgan found that the bones that suffer the highest rates of fracture in fights are the same parts of the skull that exhibited the greatest increase in robusticity during the evolution of fossil hominins.
Story.

Now if we could just get a theory explaining bone-headed behavior . . .

*(Jean-Jacques Rosseau with his noble savages theory, and Joseph Conrad, with Heart of Darkness, et al)
D-Day air drops





The contribution of the 82nd and 101st Airborne Divisions during the D-Day landings is occasionally overlooked, and even more often misunderstood.
The units that landed on Utah Beach had only a few ways to get off the beach and onto the peninsula proper. The airborne troops not only tied up German defenses inland, but more critically secured those “exits”: roads, crossroads, hamlets and villages that controlled access across swampy and otherwise difficult terrains. Without securing those exits, the troops on Utah could easily have been bottled up. Because of their location, the only feasible way to guarantee they could be taken was by air - a controversial decision at the time, especially given the short but decidedly mixed American experience with paratroopers to that point in the war.
Like most airborne operations in WWII, the drops that preceded the D-Day invasion left troops scattered over the battlefield, and in many cases far from their objectives. Casualties were high. But despite the odds, the paratroopers were able to rally effectively, insuring the invasion's ultimate success. Later on, the 101st secured Carantan, another key turning point in the Normandy campaign, and one that ultimately led to the breakout.
A side note: Maxwell Taylor, the 101st commander, was one of the key generals during the Normandy battles and indeed the entire war. Following the battle, Taylor received the Distinguished Service Medal in recognition for his and his troop’s role in Normandy. This will tell you something about Taylor: Not only did he not expect the award – Omar Bradley arranged to surprise him with it – as far as I can tell Taylor didn’t bother mentioning it (or most of his commendations) in his autobiography. He was a general who not only believed in giving his men credit, but acted on it as well.

A humble achiever – no wonder we won that war.

D-Day . . .



P.S.: I have a (tiny, tiny, tiny) part in The History Channel special, D-Day in HD, which premieres tonight on, duh, History Channel. You can find more information on the series here, and a little bit on how they put it together here. They were a great bunch of people to work with; I was happy to contribute.
NASA, take two . . .

Quote:

“Absent a very fundamental change in the nation’s way of doing business, it is not realistic to believe that we can achieve the consensus goal of reaching Mars,” Mitch Daniels, the former Indiana governor and co-chair of the committee, said Wednesday morning in an interview.

So let's change the way we do business. (Story here. The committee was charged with looking at NASA's long-range plans, including the goal of getting to Mars by 2030.)
Thank you, Kentucky


I had a great time visiting the Blue Grass State this week. The people at the Wayne County Library and up at Fort Knox are some of the friendliest folk I've ever met.

One of the things I truly enjoyed was meeting a bunch of young adults who are interested in history and current events. I was really impressed by their knowledge and enthusiasm. I'm sure they'll be successful in whatever they choose to do.

NASA . . .

. . . and the era of restricted visions - that's what I thought of watching this retro-report of the Space Shuttle program at the NYT. (No embed - here's the link.)

NASA now contracts with the Russians to launch payloads. 'Nuff said.

Now in paperback





The trade paper edition includes a short essay I wrote noting how important history was to Chris Kyle, and includes a little speculation on the eleventh gun he might have added. You can get it at all fine bookstores - even Amazon.

You can even buy it from the publisher's site, here.
Maybe Amazon needs the money

It took the Bits blog in the NY Times to point this out:

Amazon is willing to alienate those customers it usually lavishes so much attention on. And it is willing to be vilified on the Internet for undermining writers, further denting its reputation.
To make all that trouble worthwhile, the goal must be pretty tempting.
Amazon hasn’t really explained what it is after, but here’s one compelling theory: The company just doesn’t have enough money to finance everything it wants to do. Rather than trim its ambitions, it is putting one side of its business through the wringer to pay for another.
Story.

I'm sure there's more to it, of course, but that does seem obvious.
Iran continues to rot


Afghanistan hit the public radar this past week with the announcement that U.S troops would be withdrawn by the end of 2016.

What will conditions in the country be like? Worse than they are now.

Iran, meanwhile, continues to deteriorate, as Prime Minister Nouri Maliki consolidates power and continues to drive toward a Shiite-dominated monopoly on power. It's no surprise that there is serious Sunni opposition, nor is it shocking that al Qaeda related groups are on the upswing. Meanwhile, the level of corruption is stunning, and the country's economy - despite resurgent oil production - makes the Great Depression look like boom times.

Iran is the beneficiary and to some extent the instigator of all this. In many ways Maliki, who received training there during Saddam's days, is simply a vassal.

Dexter Filkins' report on Iraq in the New Yorker is a few months old now, but as relevant as ever. Here he is referring to the decision in 2011 by the Obama White House to bless Maliki's power grab. (The "meeting" in the sections is a reference to a deal involving corruption and the effective dismissal of U.S. forces from the country, which helped the Iranians extend their influence, and at least arguably assisted Maliki as well.)

The U.S. obtained a transcript of the meeting, and knew the exact terms of the agreement. Yet it decided not to contest Iran’s interference. At a meeting of the National Security Council a month later, the White House signed off on the new regime. Officials who had spent much of the previous decade trying to secure American interests in the country were outraged. “We lost four thousand five hundred Americans only to let the Iranians dictate the outcome of the war? To result in strategic defeat?” the former American diplomat told me. “Fuck that.” At least one U.S. diplomat in Baghdad resigned in protest. And Ayad Allawi, the secular Iraqi leader who captured the most votes, was deeply embittered. “I needed American support,” he told me last summer. “But they wanted to leave, and they handed the country to the Iranians. Iraq is a failed state now, an Iranian colony.”

It's no wonder that many Sunni Iraqis hate the present government. The next development will most likely be an active move against the Kurds in the north; that will provoke an even more bitter civil war than the one currently raging there.

Now on sale


If Iran actually agrees to end its nuclear weapons program, this is what will happen next . . .

On sale in your favorite bookstore, airport, newsstand, etc . . .
More on Amazon vs. Hatchette

The Atlantic has a decent summary of the situation and the implications, including this:

More liberal discounting practices will give Amazon the power to continue to gain market share and it's easy to imagine a scenario where it controls three-quarters of all book sales in the U.S. At the same time, higher co-op payments would make book publishers less profitable and less likely to invest in riskier book projects.
Story.

One point missing in the Atlantic piece is the fact that Amazon is also a publisher, and is therefore in the position of using its monopoly power to push its own books. And there has been more than a little speculation that the ultimate goal is to put the big five publishers out of business, which would make it easier to change the terms Amazon offers independent authors (which includes me under the KDP program).



"Veterans sign a blank check to their country . . ."
   - Chris Kyle
Amazon's war on authors . . .

. . . escalates. Item:

Amazon, under fire in much of the literary community for energetically discouraging customers from buying books from the publisher Hachette, has abruptly escalated the battle.
The retailer began refusing orders late Thursday for coming Hachette books, including J.K. Rowling’s new novel. The paperback edition of Brad Stone’s “The Everything Store: Jeff Bezos and the Age of Amazon” — a book Amazon disliked so much it denounced it — is suddenly listed as “unavailable.”  In some cases, even the pages promoting the books have disappeared. Anne Rivers Siddons’s new novel, “The Girls of August,” coming in July, no longer has a page for the physical book or even the Kindle edition. Only the audio edition is still being sold (for more than $60). Otherwise it is as if it did not exist.The confrontation with Hachette has turned into the biggest display of Amazon’s dominance since it briefly stripped another publisher, Macmillan, of its “buy” buttons in 2010. It seems likely to encourage debate about the enormous power the company wields. No company in American history has exerted the control over the American book market — physical, digital and secondhand — that Amazon does.
Story.


Link to Barnes and Noble on-line.
Dem bums . . .





Came across this while researching something I'm working on. I love Durocher's patter: it's a reminder that, while he's often considered "crusty," the ataboys greatly outnumbered the criticism.


China & the e-wars

The decision to charge Chinese army hackers with U.S. crimes has finally brought some media attention to a war that has been raging for years. While it's well-known that Chinese companies have been stealing American (and other) IP in various ways, e-hacking goes well beyond that. For example:

The United Steelworkers union lost computer records containing trade policy strategies and discussions about rare earth metals and auto parts.
All four had something in common besides the data thefts: Each was publicly pushing back against China’s trade policies by seeking help from the World Trade Organization or the Commerce Department.
A Justice Department indictment released on Monday — which accuses five Chinese military personnel of the attacks — reads like a chronology of most of the major trade disputes between the United States and China in the last five years.
In most instances, the American company or union that defied Beijing ended up facing extensive break-ins by Chinese military hackers, according to the documents. It is a pattern that could discourage further trade policy challenges.

That's from a NYT story, which brings me back to the original FBI charges and the media coverage thereof. The Times has done a series of stories that has essentially equated the industrial spying that China does with the NSA's spying. That's a line that China has used, and it's patently absurd. The NSA doesn't own American companies, and isn't renting its work out to them. Nor is it engaged in the sort of intellectual property theft or the harassment of civilian firms that China is. While other media organizations have also failed to draw the distinctions, the ironic thing is that the Times has been a victim of Chinese attacks, and so the expertise on the situation is readily available.

I guess that they're trying to come off as objective by reporting the analogies, but at best the tone of their coverage so far muddies the issue. Unfortunately, no other mainstream media source is doing a better job; most aren't even reporting on the issue in depth at all.

The indictment by the FBI seems to me an attempt to start drawing a line on what is acceptable and what isn't when it comes to cyber spying and, ultimately, cyber warfare. The elephant in the room, though, is cyber-theft, which threatens people and commerce in all countries and eventually will have to be dealt with in a comprehensive manner at the international level. Invading private company databases - whether to steal credit card information or IP - will ultimately carry with it draconian if not medieval penalties, but that's not going to happen if nation-sponsored hackers can do it without consequence.



Iran's leader - we're building nukes . . .

. . . like it or not.

Item:

(Reuters) - Iran's Supreme Leader described as "stupid and idiotic" Western expectations for his country to curb its missile development, striking a defiant tone ahead of a fresh round of nuclear talks. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei called on Iran's Revolutionary Guards to mass produce missiles and said the nuclear negotiations were not the place to discuss Tehran's defense program or to solve the problem of sanctions damaging the Iranian economy.
"They expect us to limit our missile program while they constantly threaten with military action," Khamenei was quoted as telling the IRNA news agency while on a visit to an aeronautics fair held by the Revolutionary Guards.
Reuters story.

The only reason to have missiles that are capable of delivering nukes is . . . to deliver nukes.

How much more explicit can you get?

This isn't posturing for negotiations. This is a country that is hostile to the U.S., bent on destroying Israel, and will produce nuclear weapons. Sooner, rather than later.

And, they're on a mission from god. The math ought to be pretty obvious.

More on Amazon & Hatchette . . .


From Publisher's Weekly:

Publishers, for the most part, believe it is necessary to hold the line with Amazon--and refuse being too generous on discount terms and co-op--in order to ensure that various retailers can remain viable. In other words, publishers see caving into Amazon's demands on terms as a direct blow to smaller retailer players, and independent bookstores.
While Amazon helped to expand the market for books when it grew its online bookstore and jump-started the e-book market with its introduction of the Kindle, many feel Amazon is now focused on driving its competitors out of business. As the head of a major house put it: “Every nickel more we give Amazon will help them accelerate their efforts to put another independent out of business.”

Story.

Like a lot of authors, Amazon.com has done a lot for me. It's made it easier for readers to get my backlist, and it's allowed me to publish books that have gone out of print. As a reader, it's been even better - I can now get practically any book I'm interested in whenever I want. There have been several times - working on American Gun, for example - when that was critically important.

But at the same time, Amazon has hurt authors as well. The target in the dispute with Hatchette may be the publishing house, but the people who will really suffer are the writers who will lose royalties because they lose sales. That diminishes all writers, lowering their pay - which for most of us isn't all that much to begin with. It also makes it difficult if not impossible for other stores, on-line and off, to compete fairly. If you can only get a book from one place in the world . . . well, the implications are scary.


Dale Brown's latest


Long-time Dale Brown fans are going to enjoy his latest effort. among Dale's many accomplishments over the years has been his ability to stay on the cutting edge of technology. He's at the top of the game here - though I suspect some people might be surprised to find that the future he's talking isn't as far away as they might think.

Speaking as a writer, one of the hardest things to do when you have a continuing series is keep it new and exciting. Dale accomplishes that in the new book, following up on a twist from his last book, Tiger's Claw. I won't spoil it, but it was a daring development, one I'm sure that could have subjected him to a lot of criticism, but it really pays off with the new work. There's some great character work at the heart of that - another Dale Brown hallmark.

You can preview the novel - and find links to buy - here.


Amazon.com screws writers . . .


 . . . specifically, those who publish with Hatchette.

Item:

Among Amazon’s tactics against Hachette, some of which it has been employing for months, are charging more for its books and suggesting that readers might enjoy instead a book from another author. If customers for some reason persist and buy a Hachette book anyway, Amazon is saying it will take weeks to deliver it.
The scorched-earth tactics arose out of failed contract negotiations. Amazon was seeking better terms, Hachette was balking, so Amazon began cutting it off. Writers from Malcolm Gladwell to J. D. Salinger are affected, although some Hachette authors were unscathed.

NY Times story.
Meanwhile, in Syria . . .

Assad has all but won. From the Telegraph:

The last remaining rebel fighters in Homs have been evacuated by the busload, under an unprecedented ceasefire agreement that dealt the final blow to the opposition in the Syrian city once described as the “capital of the revolution”.
After nearly two years of government siege, hundreds of weary rebels abandoned their last stronghold, the heart of the revolt against President Bashar al-Assad, handing him a symbolic victory weeks before his likely re-election.
Story.

The cost has been tremendous, in lives, in money, and in geopoliticcs. But he's still standing. Iran has gained - but so has Israel, at least to some degree. Of course, given that we're talking about the Middle East, things can always change - and certainly will.
Is it wrong . . .

 . . . to find this story funny? Though undoubtedly I'd have a different opinion if I'd been affected by the delays.

The primary air traffic control system around Los Angeles shut down last week because data from the a U-2 spy plane's flight plan confused software that helps track and route aircraft around the region, the Federal Aviation Administration said Monday.

Story and explanation. 

Here's more on the U2 to make up for inappropriate humor. (Yes, the Blackbird flies higher. Never mind.)

Well, duh . . .


Dumbest mainstream media headline of the day, Ukraine division:

So Far, U.S. Sanctions Over Ukraine May Be Inflicting Only Limited Pain on Russia

It's in the NYT, of course; don't waste your time reading the story. On the other hand, Anne Applebaum published this in Slate:

 . . .the West needs to rethink its military strategies in order to counter new tactics—paramilitary and psychological—that Russia has begun to deploy. But we could also begin to think even more strategically about the threat to both the eastern and the western halves of Europe that is posed by Russian influence on international energy markets in general, and on European natural gas pipelines in particular. I don’t mean the immediate threat to turn off the gas, but the long-term threat posed by companies such as Gazprom, state entities in everything but name, and their monopolistic practices. The danger they pose is both political and economic. Gazprom goes out of its way to hire senior European politicians, including former Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder of Germany, and spends millions trying to influence political decisions across the continent. Meanwhile, Europeans pay more than double what Americans pay for natural gas, not least because so many of them are buying from a supplier that is deliberately pushing prices upward. 

Story.


The Eleventh Gun . . .



We have a trade edition of American Gun publishing soon, and it includes an essay on Chris and some thoughts about what the "eleventh gun" would be. Here's the start:


With the publication of American Sniper in January 2012, Chris Kyle rocketed to worldwide fame. Suddenly, the easy-going Texas cowboy, ranch hand, bronco buster, Navy SEAL, weapons instructor, father, husband, son, brother became known to the world as THE AMERICAN SNIPER, all capital letters, all bold print.

It was a distinction he’d never sought. Urged and prodded to tell his story, he finally decided to go ahead not because he felt his experiences were unique, but because they reflected things all servicemen and women had been through during the war in Iraq. He specifically wanted to honor two men who’d died with him during the conflict, and in fact decided that the lion’s share of the money for the book would go to them; he never took a cent from the book that made him famous.

The success of the story did more than honor the fallen. It gave people a way to thank brothers, sons, neighbors who’d gone off to war. It gave them a person who could stand in not just for lost soldiers but for others who’d served without fanfare or acclaim. From the moment the book came out, Chris became the neighbor who’d gone off to war but had never been thanked. He became the spouse they hadn’t entirely understood, the son-in-law or uncle who’d struggled to adjust without complaining. People came to see him by the hundreds not so much to buy the book, not even to shake his hand, but simply to thank him – and through him every man and woman in uniform who’d sacrificed time, money, and happiness for our country. With the publication of the book, Chris’s name became synonymous with service to the country. There were few places he could go without be recognized and fussed over. In return, he’d usually respond with an aw-shucks grin and a bit of shrug, as if to say I don’t really deserve this, but thanks for thinking about our country and our service people in general. I’m not really supposed to be famous, but if it helps others, so be it.

But Chris was famous before the book came out. Granted, it was on a much smaller and different scale. He was already a legend in the SEAL community, known as the guy who had killed well over 150 enemy combatants with precision marksmanship. Soldiers and Marines who’d been in Ramadi and some of the other hell holes where he’d done his job knew Chris as the “man on the rooftop” who saved their lives, or made their job safer. He was the guy who’d run up the street under fire to drag a wounded Marine back to safety, and to rescue stranded journalists. Most didn’t know his name, but they certainly knew that he had been there.

And then there was his fame within a small circle of family and friends, where Chris was well-known as the guy you could call on for backup or a helping hand. He’d put up relatives who needed a place to stay; he’d cleared trees from random roads and driveways after hurricanes. He’d proven that you could make a small but significant difference in lives with a smile and a pickup truck. And after the Navy he’d volunteered to help severely wounded veterans rehab and readjust to civilian life on retreats and campouts.
The fame that came from American Sniper widened the circle of people he helped considerably. When the book came out, he was suddenly in great demand to do benefits and offer a few words of encouragement, which he did to the point of exhaustion, generally for free and covering his own expenses. The way he helped really didn’t change; there was just more of it. He still devoted himself to small but significant gestures, whether it was taking an amputee hunting or talking to a kid just back from the war. Fame brought a tsunami of opportunities, but the man at the center of the wave hadn’t changed. Fame had been accidental byproduct of something he had to do, and there was no better proof than the fact that it only helped him do more of what he had done before the world knew who he was.


If American Sniper was a story that had to be told, American Gun was a story Chris wanted to tell. It was a tale, or rather a collection of interwoven tales, that summed up American history and some of the themes critical to the country’s character. It was a story of America told through the prism of tools he knew very well. Most people don’t think of snipers, let alone SEALs, as historians, but to his family and close friends the idea for the book was absolutely Chris. . . .


The book publishes around Memorial Day; you can order it at all the usual outlets.
Spy vs. spy in Ukraine


The "apartheid" comment got all the attention when a Daily Beast reporter snuck into a supposedly off-limits meeting to record Kerry's unguarded comments, but this is far more relevant:

“Intel is producing taped conversations of intelligence operatives taking their orders from Moscow and everybody can tell the difference in the accents, in the idioms, in the language. We know exactly who’s giving those orders, we know where they are coming from,” Kerry said at a private meeting of the Trilateral Commission in Washington. A recording of Kerry’s remarks was obtained by The Daily Beast.
Kerry didn’t name specific Russian officials implicated in the recordings. But he claimed that the intercepts provided proof of the Russians deliberately fomenting unrest in eastern Ukraine—and lying about it to U.S. officials and the public.
“It’s not an accident that you have some of the same people identified who were in Crimea and in Georgia and who are now in east Ukraine,” said Kerry. “This is insulting to everybody’s intelligence, let alone to our notions about how we ought to be behaving in the 21st century. It’s thuggism, it’s rogue state-ism. It’s the worst order of behavior.”

Story.

Of course, the Russians already proved they were taping American diplomats, publicizing a conversation in February to make it look like the Americans were running things behind the scenes. (Actually, the best part of that conversation was the diss of the Europeans, which at least showed the State Department is smarter than most people give it credit for. Reuters story here, in case you've forgotten.)
Ukraine

Putin's immediate goal in Ukraine is fairly obvious - create a (real or de facto) breakaway state in the east and chaos in the rest. It's also obvious that this will be accomplished soon, and without the sort of bloodshed or blow-back a full invasion might cause.

But you have to wonder how this benefits Russia in the long run. Having poor, weak states on your borders means having a variety of problems, especially if you've gone out of your way to alienate a good portion of their citizens. And in the meantime, aggression in Ukraine has harmed relations with Europe and the U.S. It may be that Europe remains toothless, credulous and somewhat senile in dealing with Russia and the entire eastern end of the continent; certainly the way many corporate heads have rushed to suck up to Putin make one believe that will be the case. But it's not necessarily a given. A doubling or even tripling of Europe's collective defense budget would have a negligible effect on government balance sheets (they spend a pittance now), but present Russia with serious problems. And if economics is the real measure of power in the 21st century, antagonizing your customers is never a good long-term business strategy.

As far as the U.S. goes, no matter what anyone says, Ukraine will always be way down on the priority list of any administration. You will never see U.S. troops there, absent a much larger conflict. But Russia's actions are Exhibit One for anyone who thinks - correctly - that the defense budget has been cut too far to the bone. And they are argument 4,568,982 for a more realistic foreign policy, and not just in eastern Europe.

The outright and obvious lies Putin's administration has made concerning Ukraine are part of a much broader pattern. Putin's real politik is not doing much good in the rest of the world, but it's hurting Russians the most. You'd think more people would have recognized that by now.


My office . . .


. . .  someone wanted to know what it looked like.

(Yes, that was a joke - it actually looks something like this:)


Clowning around



Item:
McDonald’s is giving its long-time mascot a makeover. Ronald McDonald, the iconic clown that kids love and adults find quietly menacing, is getting a more modern look. The character will now sport a yellow vest and cargo pants instead of a jumpsuit, as well as a red-and-white striped rugby shirt. He’ll also don a red blazer and bowtie for “special occasions,” the company says. 

Story.

Nothing is sacred any more.

Next they'll change the recipe for the secret sauce in Big Macs...
The future of milk . . .

. . . or at least milking:





Almost makes me want to go out and get a herd of cows.



Hogs 4: Snake Eaters now on NOOK





You can get download book 4 in the series here.



Graybeards in Ukraine . . .


Just in case you're tempted to believe (heh) Putin on Ukraine, the NY Times actually does some good work with visuals on why you shouldn't, with a series of photos that make it make it pretty clear that the Russians are actually the ones in charge in eastern Ukraine.

The graybeard in particular gets around (click here to go to the story and larger versions of the photos):



A side note - the fact that the same operative was active across so many years and places tells you a little about the alleged renaissance of Russian capabilities.

Pioneering through disaster . . .


Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 seems well on the way to joining Amelia Earhart's ill-fated trip as one of the world's enduring aeronautic mysteries. But air travel remains one of the safest ways to travel - it's safer to get on a plane than into a bathtub.

My bathtub, at least. And certainly any tub ever contemplated by Alfred Hitchcock.

It got that way because of outstanding engineering - and, unfortunately, a great deal of trial and error, as this BBC feature reminds us:

The development of fast jet flight led to the death of legions of test pilots, notoriously during the 1950s. But these accidents led to technical improvements and changes in operations and legislation that were to make civil aviation increasingly safe.
Among the most shocking were the three occasions, within a year, when brand new de Havilland Comet airliners broke up in flight. Launched into service with BOAC in 1952, the Comet was the world’s first jet airliner. It was a beauty. It could cross the Atlantic in style and, for a moment, it looked as Britain might truly lead the Jet Age. And, yet, because the nature of metal fatigue, new construction techniques and repeated re-pressurisation of airliner cabins was little understood, early Comets were to fail in spectacularly fatal fashion.
In 1953 and 1954, three Comets broke up soon after taking off killing all on board, two over the Mediterranean as they climbed in January and April that year from Rome’s Ciampino airport, and a third caught in a thunder squall on the Calcutta to Delhi leg of a BOAC flight from Singapore to London. Comet flights were suspended, and production of the British jet was halted.

The full story, definitely worth reading, is here.


Dubious distinction dept.


Today I was blind-emailed one of those virtual promotional posters that are so popular on Facebook, list-serves, and the internet in general. Nothing unusual about that - I must average a dozen a day, not counting the ones with cats. But this one happened to contain a quote from something I wrote.

I guess I should feel honored, and I do. Pretty much. But . . . whoever copied it made a rather obvious and embarrassing typo. I'm sure my copy editor will throw his cup of coffee against the wall when it gets around to him.

Could be worse, I guess. The words could have been printed over a picture of a kitten.


Which way now for the LCS?


Is the Navy preparing to throw the towel in on the off-criticized LCS?

It's certainly starting to look like it. From a recent news report:

"Several 7th Fleet officials told us they thought the LCS in general might be better suited to operations in the Persian Gulf," said a Government Accountability Office report.
GAO officials said the controversial LCS lacks the speed, range and electronic warfare capabilities to function in the geographic expanse that is the Pacific theater. As a result, the Navy should consider buying fewer LCS if the vessel is unable to perform in the Pacific, according to Bloomberg's report.
Story.

The LCS has been criticized for any number of reasons, but mostly its vulnerability to attack in a heavy combat situation - which, after all, is where warships are supposed to go. But in fairness, the "L" stands for littoral - as in shallow, as in coastal, as in waters near land rather than the vast expanse of the Pacific Ocean . . . waters like, er, the Persian Gulf.

The LCS's mission requirements seem to have expanded to the point where it's looked at as a destroyer rather than a modern minesweeper or gunboat. The real problem here is that a) the Navy needs more destroyers, which the LCS can't replace, and b) the LCS is much more expensive than the ships traditionally used in littoral roles. The solution - build more destroyers, and much cheaper (but less flexible) littoral craft.




The IBM 360 . . .


. . . the computer that changed the world is fifty years old today.

Some of its history and impact is detailed here. The mainframe's descendants live on, as the story attests.

My dad worked on the 360, first on the hardware side and then later as a systems programmer and debugger. I remember him coming home with a thick stack of dot matrix paper filled with hexadecimal "dumps." He'd spend hours looking through the stacks for letters out of place that indicated bugs. We made giant paper airplanes when he was done.

Speaking of Drone Strike


The covers in the Dreamland series have really been pieces of art - below is the original without the words to get in the way:


Drone Strike is our 15th (!!) installment, and we've been blessed with some great support from the publishers and staff along the way.


Starred review

Our upcoming installment in the Dreamland series has been winning praise. Here's Publisher's Weekly:

“In this 15th Dreamland aviation thriller (after 2012’s Collateral Damage), Brown and DeFelice are at the top of their game. At the Dreamland base, a top-secret development area in the Nevada desert, Capt. Turk Mako, a test pilot in the U.S. Air Force, is working on a new drone project. Dubbed “Hydra,” these “nano-UAVs” (or unmanned aerial vehicles) are the size of a “cheap desk calculator” and shaped like “a cross between lawn darts and studies for a video game.” When the U.S. government decides that Iran’s nuclear efforts must be thwarted, Turk and his swarm of tiny drones are selected for a covert attack. Turk flies to Iran, links up with a Delta Force team, and destroys an underground nuclear facility. While the mission is an initial success, readers will know that Turk’s work is not finished so easily. The pages fly by as fast as the quicksilver drones while Turk faces one exciting, life-threatening complication after another. This can be read either as a standalone or a gateway to the rest of the Dreamland books.


The book goes on sale June 4.

(Hard to believe this is the 15th book in the series, actually. I'll have to think about that.)